Daily Gains Letter

Investment Strategy

An investment strategy is a protocol and methodology for allocating funds of a portfolio. This strategy is based on an investor’s risk profile. The more risk the investor is willing to take, the greater the potential returns, but also the higher risk of a loss in capital. There is a whole universe of investment strategies, from the least risky of buying treasury bills and government bonds with high credit ratings, to the more risky of buying stocks based on fundamental analysis, technical analysis or simply buying and holding for the long term. Some investors also look to stocks with dividends that return a yield over time, to mitigate some of the risks of the stock market.


Three Plays to Benefit When OPEC Cuts Oil Production



How to Profit from Low, Low Oil PricesOil prices are struggling to hold above $80.00 a barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude. Even the more widely traded Brent oil prices are hovering around the $80.00 level. Excess supply—especially from the fracking for oil in the United States and the gush of oil that will come from the tar sands in Canada—is helping to drive oil prices lower. Then add in the slowing in Europe and China, and you have concerns on the demand side. In Economics 101, when demand declines and supply rises, a downward pressure on prices surfaces and that is exactly what is happening to oil prices. The oil ca ... Read More



Fear of Ebola Now Creating Weakness in U.S. Stocks?



Ebola Scare Is Affecting U.S. StocksThe fear of Ebola has caused an increase in pressure towards the U.S. stock markets, particularly in the travel sector and aviation stocks. The concern is real, and if it is allowed to grow in the United States, Asia, or Europe, we could see a significant decline in travel demand that could impact the next few quarters, as my stock analysis would suggest. The impact on the aviation space has been evident already, as we have seen travel-related stocks come off their tops; albeit, much of this also has to do with the current stock market risk, based on my stock analysis. However, a big plus to the tra ... Read More



One Stock You Can Shelve Away for a Century



My Solution to the Current Stock Market MalaiseThe world is not coming to an end—even if it does look that way as global stock markets plummet. Make no mistake about it; we are clearly witnessing some selling capitulation in the stock market. The bottom may be near for the stock market, or we could be in for further downside moves given that the correction on the S&P 500 has been around six percent, so there’s some wiggle room to the downside. After multiple records by the S&P 500 and DOW in September, the DOW is now in negative territory in 2014. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was negative intraday on Wednesday pri ... Read More



Is This the Discount Sale Investors Have Been Waiting For?



Discount Sale Investors Have Been Waiting ForOctober has provided the usual bouts of anxiety that have characterized the month in past years. I warned that we could see volatility and so far, this has been the case. From small-cap stocks to world-class blue-chip companies, we are seeing some selling capitulation emerge in the stock market. All of the major key stock indices are below their respective 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MAs). As I said in a recent commentary, the chart risk is high. Bearish investor sentiment continues to grip the stock market. We saw 354 new lows on the NYSE on Friday, followed by 308 new lo ... Read More



The Sector That Continues to Benefit from Low Interest Rates



Benefit from Low Interest RatesA sector that has truly benefited from the low-interest-rate environment over the last several years has been the automobile sector, which could now be an investment opportunity. Armed with financing rates as low as zero or free money, car buyers have been rushing to the dealers looking for a new set of wheels. Rising per-capita income levels around the world, especially in the emerging markets in China, Asia, and Latin America, have all combined to drive up demand. Investment guru Warren Buffett just announced last week that his fund Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. (NYSE/BRK-A) would add a majority stake ... Read More



How to Generate Premium Income in a Stalling Stock Market



Premium Income in a Stalling Stock MarketThe S&P 500 recently traded at a record-high, just before tensions in the Ukraine erupted and the global stock market declined as fear of an escalation and war intensified. While the charts continue to show the stock market wanting to move higher after excellent gains in February, I still sense the upside moves will be more difficult to come by compared to what we saw in 2013. Even at this point, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 are still negative this year. If the stand-off between the Ukraine and Russia doesn’t escalate, I would expect the stock mar ... Read More



What the World Cup and the Stock Market Have in Common This Year



How to Make Some Premium Income This SummerLast Wednesday, I had fun watching the World Cup game between Argentina and the Netherlands. As strange as it may sound, I actually found that the tension and apprehension throughout the match reminded me of the stock market. Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average recently trading above 17,000 and the S&P 500 at another record-high, I still sense the stock market is vulnerable to selling. I think this will be especially true if the second-quarter earnings season pans out as expected, devoid of any major growth in earnings or revenues. Alcoa Inc. (NYSE/AA) offered up a nice report, ... Read More



Why These Top Global Stocks Are So Attractive



One Major Factor for a Company's SuccessOne of the most common traits I find in successful companies is that they often have a multinational presence. That’s not to say that domestic-only companies are not successful, but for real growth, many of the top S&P 500 companies are global, based on my stock analysis. Whether it’s in the industrial, technology, financial, aerospace, or healthcare sectors, the commonality is the global exposure that many of the world’s top companies all exhibit. In fact, the failure to capitalize on foreign markets can really limit a company’s growth, according to my stock analysis. There are on ... Read More



Investors Causing Massive Shifts in Growth Stocks



Key Stock Indices Soon DisappointYou can’t deny it: there are outright signs of stress on the key stock indices. We see investors are worried, and they just don’t like risk. We see huge selling in the growth stocks, with names like Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ/AMZN) and Twitter, Inc. (NYSE/TWTR); they are witnessing a huge sell-off and are now in bear market territory. The biotechnology sector is getting slammed—investors are hitting the bid and running for the exit. With all this happening, one question comes to mind: what happens next? Growth stocks can act as a leading indicator of what’s next for the markets. Are key stock indice ... Read More



Are ETFs Really the Best Investment for You?



Pros and Cons of Indexed InvestingOne of the investment strategies discussed in the mainstream these days is to add exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to your portfolio. It is said that when you do just that, your portfolio has lower risks and you are well diversified. For investors who are not as advanced, when it comes to investing; this investment strategy makes sense. For those who are advanced, they shouldn’t fall for this investment strategy; they may be better off going the other way—buying individual stocks instead. Let me explain… Between March of 2009—when the bull market run started—until February ... Read More



How to Prepare for the Stock Market Sell-Off I’ve Been Warning About



Stock MarketWell, that didn’t take long! Just a few weeks ago, I wrote an article stating that investors should begin to worry about the lofty level of the stock market. Since that time, the S&P 500 has dropped by more than five percent in less than two weeks. This market correction won’t be a surprise to my readers, as I have been suggesting investment strategies that can help prepare your portfolio for a large downswing in the market for some time now. When I wrote the article in late January, the S&P 500 was surging, even though the preliminary Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment dropped month-over-mo ... Read More



Another Five Percent Down for the S&P 500, at Minimum?



S&P 500Though making money is important, that’s not the be-all and end-all behind smart investment strategies. Just think about the common phrase “a dollar saved is a dollar earned.” Success in trading and investing means you need to be aware of both the upside and downside risks, such as we are seeing now as the stock market moves lower. In general, investors should hold off on buying for now until we see some solid opportunities. Trading volume is rising on the down days, which confirms the selling pressure. As well, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has declined for five straight sessions, losing nearly four percent in that time. A look at the chart of the Read More



Three Ways to Prevent Irrationality from Entering Your Portfolio



Three Ways to Prevent IrrationalityThere’s always something investors are worried about. Recently, we heard about the U.S. government reaching the debt limit, shutting down, and inching close to defaulting on its debt. Investors reacted, and the key stock indices started to slide lower due to concern over what could happen. Now, with a deal being struck to extend the debt ceiling and budget deadlines, those worries are over, meaning U.S. creditors will get their interest payments and the government will go on operating as usual. Thi ... Read More



The Basic Principle Smart Investors Shouldn’t Forget



050913_DL_zulfiqarOver the Labor Day weekend, I met up with my old friend, Mr. Speculator. As always, we had a debate about portfolio management. We had a long conversation about what really is the right way to manage your investments—and, for that matter, if there is any. Should investors invest 40% of their portfolio in bonds and 60% in stocks? Should it be the opposite? Or is there another possible combination? He said, “Moe, I am a firm believer in going for the fences every time for now, but do you really think I will continue to have the same approach in the long run?” (Turns out, there’s actually a ratio ... Read More



How to Protect Your Portfolio from Fluctuations and Profit from Rising Oil Prices



Protect Your Portfolio from Fluctuations and Profit from Rising Oil PricesNot too long ago, the per-barrel price of oil was hovering close to $85.00. Now, a few months later, it trades above $107.00; this is an increase of roughly 25% in a fairly short period of time. One may ask why this matters, and what it means for the overall U.S. economy. At the most basic level, the price of oil has a very deep impact on consumer spending, which makes up 70% of the gross domestic product (GDP) of the U.S. economy. It impacts consumers in ... Read More